NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 20, 2024
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Moeller | 22 | 20 | 71.0% | 1 | 32.1 | 1 |
| 2 | Luke Phelan | 20 | 19 | 62.5% | 2 | 30.2 | 2 |
| 3 | Karl Loiseau | 19 | 20 | 61.3% | 3 | 29.2 | 3 |
| 4 | Andrew Batchelor | 18 | 19 | 56.2% | 4 | 28.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Matt Hogel | 16 | 20 | 51.6% | 5 | 26.2 | 5 |
| 6 | Dan Ellenberger | 14 | 21 | 46.7% | 6 | 24.1 | 6 |
| 6 | Steve Creaser | 14 | 20 | 45.2% | 7 | 22.8 | 9 |
| 6 | Gavin Gray | 14 | 20 | 45.2% | 7 | 24.0 | 7 |
| 9 | Mike Thorne | 13 | 20 | 41.9% | 9 | 23.1 | 8 |
| 10 | Nick Boucher | 10 | 20 | 32.3% | 10 | 20.9 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 9 | 12.8 | NA | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8 | 11.4 | CLE | 0.62 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 7.9 | ARI | 0.46 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 11.0 | SF | 0.59 |
| Houston Texans | 7 | 10.4 | TEN | 0.77 |
| Denver Broncos | 6 | 8.8 | LV | 0.69 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 8 | 11.8 | CHI | 0.62 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 10.9 | LAC | 0.59 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 6.5 | MIN | 0.38 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 10.7 | DAL | 0.82 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 9.2 | NA | |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 8.6 | GB | 0.41 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 13.6 | CAR | 0.82 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 5 | 8.0 | DET | 0.25 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 4.6 | DEN | 0.31 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 8 | 12.5 | LA | 0.59 |
| Miami Dolphins | 4 | 7.3 | NE | 0.75 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 4.3 | TB | 0.3 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 6 | 9.9 | SEA | 0.54 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 5 | 8.1 | PHI | 0.41 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 6.0 | NA | |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 10.6 | BAL | 0.41 |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 7.0 | NA | |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 5.2 | WAS | 0.18 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 9 | 13.7 | IND | 0.75 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 4.8 | NA | |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 4.6 | HOU | 0.23 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 7.4 | NA | |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 8.6 | NYG | 0.7 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 4.9 | PIT | 0.38 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 9 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| Houston Texans | 7 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Denver Broncos | 6 | 28 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 4 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 18 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 8 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | 2 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 6 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 5 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 8 | 3 | 9 | -1 | 2 |
| Miami Dolphins | 4 | 13 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 9 | 7 | -4 | 13 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 7 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 5 | 10 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| New York Jets | 3 | 12 | 6 | -3 | 12 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 6 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 9 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 15 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| Tennessee Titans | 2 | 26 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 6 | 8 | -4 | 13 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 19 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Draft Results
